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Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% O/U 2.5 100% Both Teams to Score 100% Volume: $483K Liquidity: $1.2M Closes: 13 Aug 2026
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Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
Both Teams to Score in First Half100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 1.5100%
Santos FC O/U 0.5100%
Santos FC O/U 1.5100%
CSyD Macará O/U 0.5100%
Santos FC 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
CSyD Macará 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Santos FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Santos FC (-1.5)0%
CSyD Macará (-1.5)0%
Santos FC (-2.5)0%
CSyD Macará (-2.5)0%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Santos FC O/U 2.50%
CSyD Macará O/U 1.50%
CSyD Macará O/U 2.50%
Santos FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
CSyD Macará 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 1.50%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
Santos FC 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
CSyD Macará 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
CSyD Macará 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Santos hosted CSyD Macará in the first leg of their Copa Sudamericana round-of-16 tie, with the match scheduled for 13 August at Estádio Urbano Caldeira in Santos. The pricing on “more markets” sat at 0% YES, which is consistent with a market that usually only resolves if a specific side-market, prop, or supplementary condition is explicitly listed or opened; in programmatic terms, that means checking the event feed, market metadata, and any nested selections rather than assuming the headline fixture itself is the settlement trigger.[1][2][3]

For historical framing, there was no prior head-to-head record between the clubs, so the cleanest analogue is a standard knockout first leg where early information matters more than long-run team history.[1][5] Public match data pointed to Santos as the favourite, with pre-match odds around -240 on the moneyline and models leaning towards a home win, while Santos also carried several defensive and squad absences that could matter for derivative markets tied to cards, corners, or clean-sheet-style outcomes.[2][11] That combination usually leaves “more markets” sensitive to how the book defines eligibility and whether automated tools are keyed to the correct leg and market family.

A trader watching this programmatically would track line-up releases, market reopening status, and any fixture dependency on the aggregate context, since round-of-16 legs often shift settlement logic if a prop is tied to “full match”, “regular time”, or “advancement” rather than the 90-minute scoreline.[2][5] Broadcast and preview listings also confirmed the 6:00 PM ET kick-off and that the match was being carried in major Sudamericana coverage, which is useful when polling for late line moves or market creation events close to start time.[5]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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