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Mura Murska Sobota vs. NK Radomlje - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "Mura Murska Sobota vs. NK Radomlje - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

NK Radomlje (-1.5) 100% O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% O/U 2.5 100% Volume: $76K Liquidity: $435K Closes: 10 Aug 2026
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Mura Murska Sobota vs. NK Radomlje - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
NK Radomlje (-1.5)100%
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
O/U 3.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Mura Murska Sobota O/U 0.5100%
NK Radomlje O/U 0.5100%
NK Radomlje O/U 1.5100%
NK Radomlje O/U 2.5100%
NK Radomlje 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
2nd Half O/U 2.5100%
Mura Murska Sobota 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
NK Radomlje 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
NK Radomlje 2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
Mura Murska Sobota (-1.5)0%
Mura Murska Sobota (-2.5)0%
NK Radomlje (-2.5)0%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Mura Murska Sobota O/U 1.50%
Mura Murska Sobota O/U 2.50%
Mura Murska Sobota 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Mura Murska Sobota 1st Half O/U 1.50%
NK Radomlje 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Mura Murska Sobota 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

NK Mura will host NK Radomlje in the Slovenian PrvaLiga on 10 August 2026, with kick-off at 11:00 AM ET. This market tracks whether additional betting markets or settlement conditions will be offered for the fixture beyond standard match outcomes. The 0% implied probability suggests the market creator or early traders believe no supplementary markets are currently planned or likely to materialise before the settlement deadline.

Historical precedent in Slovenian football coverage shows that secondary markets—such as corner counts, card totals, or player-specific props—typically emerge only for higher-profile fixtures or when bookmakers anticipate sufficient liquidity. Mura, a consistent PrvaLiga contender based in Murska Sobota, and Radomlje, a mid-table side, represent a routine domestic fixture unlikely to attract the kind of international attention that triggers expanded market offerings. Comparable August fixtures in prior seasons rarely generated supplementary markets unless one club was chasing a title or European qualification spot.

Traders monitoring this market programmatically should track official PrvaLiga fixture announcements and any statements from major Slovenian or European sportsbooks confirming market expansion for this match. The settlement window closes at 16:00 UTC on 10 August—roughly five hours after kick-off—which means any new markets must be declared or visible before that timestamp. Conditional order logic could be set to monitor bookmaker APIs or league communications for market-type announcements; a sharp trader might also cross-reference whether either club has injury news or managerial changes that could elevate fixture prominence in the days preceding the match.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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