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Parma Calcio 1913 vs. AC Monza - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "Parma Calcio 1913 vs. AC Monza - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 100% 1st Half O/U 0.5 100% AC Monza O/U 0.5 100% AC Monza 1st Half O/U 0.5 100% Volume: $120K Liquidity: $533K Closes: 6 Sept 2026
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Parma Calcio 1913 vs. AC Monza - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
AC Monza O/U 0.5100%
AC Monza 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.575%
2nd Half O/U 0.575%
Both Teams to Score51%
Parma Calcio 1913 O/U 0.550%
AC Monza O/U 1.550%
Parma Calcio 1913 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Parma Calcio 1913 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
AC Monza 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
AC Monza 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
AC Monza 2nd Half (-1.5)50%
Parma Calcio 1913 2nd Half (-1.5)50%
AC Monza 2nd Half (-2.5)50%
Parma Calcio 1913 2nd Half (-2.5)50%
O/U 2.540%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half40%
2nd Half O/U 1.540%
AC Monza (-1.5)30%
2nd Half O/U 2.519%
O/U 3.514%
Parma Calcio 1913 O/U 1.514%
AC Monza O/U 2.514%
AC Monza (-2.5)8%
O/U 4.54%
Parma Calcio 1913 O/U 2.53%
Parma Calcio 1913 (-1.5)2%
Parma Calcio 1913 (-2.5)2%
O/U 5.51%
AC Monza 1st Half (-1.5)1%
Parma Calcio 1913 1st Half (-1.5)1%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Parma Calcio 1913 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Parma Calcio 1913 1st Half O/U 1.50%
AC Monza 1st Half O/U 1.50%
AC Monza 1st Half (-2.5)0%
Parma Calcio 1913 1st Half (-2.5)0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of parma calcio 1913 vs. ac monza - more markets. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. More markets for the Serie A game, scheduled for September 6 at 9:00 AM ET.

Methodology

We track Parma Calcio 1913 vs. AC Monza - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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