Aberdeen FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC

Platform comparison

Market context

Aberdeen host Heart of Midlothian in a Scottish Premiership fixture that is already fully priced for a **YES** on the event settling by kick-off, so the main question for a power-user is whether there is any residual operational risk rather than match uncertainty. Public fixture data places the game at Pittodrie on Saturday 1 August 2026 with a 16:30 UTC start, which means a programmatic setup would typically anchor on the official fixture feed, then watch for any late-time changes that could affect settlement windows or market finality.[8]

Historically, this pairing has been competitive rather than one-sided: Aberdeen’s club preview cites a long head-to-head record of 145 meetings with Hearts winning 69, Aberdeen 43 and 33 draws, while FootyStats shows a narrower modern split across 42 recent meetings, with Aberdeen 17 wins, Hearts 15 and 10 draws.[1][14] Comparable recent previews also point to a relatively low-scoring profile in the matchup, with one note saying the last six meetings produced no more than two goals and another recording that Aberdeen took a 3-2 opening-day win at Pittodrie in 2019.[10][1]

For traders automating around this market, the key catalysts are team news, kick-off confirmation and any schedule dependency created by broadcast or administrative changes. Recent preview coverage has already discussed probable line-ups and noted live TV coverage for a later Aberdeen-Hearts league meeting, which is the sort of item that bots often scrape to detect timing or selection changes before order placement or hedging.[7][4] If the market is being managed with conditional orders, the practical watchlist is simple: official club match preview updates, line-up drops near matchday, and any league or venue announcement that could alter the fixture timestamp before the settlement cutoff.[1][8]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Aberdeen FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.