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Fredrikstad FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Fredrikstad FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 0.5 100% 1st Half O/U 0.5 100% Fredrikstad FK O/U 0.5 100% Fredrikstad FK 1st Half O/U 0.5 100% Volume: $129K Liquidity: $651K Closes: 1 Aug 2026
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Fredrikstad FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Fredrikstad FK O/U 0.5100%
Fredrikstad FK 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Fredrikstad FK (-1.5)0%
Sandefjord Fotball (-1.5)0%
Fredrikstad FK (-2.5)0%
Sandefjord Fotball (-2.5)0%
O/U 1.50%
O/U 2.50%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Fredrikstad FK O/U 1.50%
Fredrikstad FK O/U 2.50%
Sandefjord Fotball O/U 0.50%
Sandefjord Fotball O/U 1.50%
Sandefjord Fotball O/U 2.50%
Fredrikstad FK 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Sandefjord Fotball 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Sandefjord Fotball 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 0.50%
2nd Half O/U 1.50%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
Fredrikstad FK 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Fredrikstad FK 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
Sandefjord Fotball 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Sandefjord Fotball 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Fredrikstad host Sandefjord in an Eliteserien fixture, and the “More Markets” contract is effectively a bet on whether the exchange will later add extra derivatives around the game rather than just the main match line. In practical terms, a power-user would treat 0% YES as a sparse-listing signal: the market has not yet attracted enough participation or product expansion to price in a non-zero chance, so any workflow using alerts, conditional orders or copy-trading would need to watch for a sudden catalogue update rather than the result itself.

Historically, this pairing has been used as a decent guide to reading secondary-market demand because the teams have a well-documented head-to-head. Recent listings show Fredrikstad ahead in the all-time record, with BBC data putting the series at 11 Fredrikstad wins, 8 Sandefjord wins and 5 draws across 24 meetings[4], while other feeds note Fredrikstad have avoided defeat in the last five meetings and the most recent league meeting finished 1-1 in May 2026[2][16]. That profile usually supports straightforward match pricing, but it does not by itself create a reason for extra side markets; programmatically, the key is whether pre-match liquidity and publisher interest are strong enough to trigger additional books, rather than whether the teams have a balanced rivalry record.

The main catalysts to monitor are late team news, match-status confirmations and any exchange-side release of expanded props close to kick-off. Sofascore and FotMob both carry live match hubs and predicted line-ups, which are the kind of feeds traders use to script pre-match checks and refresh order logic when line-ups drop or status changes[1][2]. Recent form also matters for whether more markets appear attractive to the crowd: FotMob notes Fredrikstad have scored eight and conceded two in their last five, while Sandefjord have scored seven in their last five and have conceded the most penalties in the season sample shown there[2].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
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