Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
94% | 6% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
94% | 6% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 19.5 | 94% |
| O/U 21.5 | 93% |
| O/U 27.5 | 81% |
| O/U 29.5 | 81% |
| O/U 33.5 | 64% |
| O/U 35.5 | 62% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 60% |
| O/U 43.5 | 59% |
| Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| Spread -1.5 | 56% |
| O/U 31.5 | 55% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 54% |
| O/U 25.5 | 53% |
| O/U 37.5 | 52% |
| O/U 23.5 | 51% |
| Chargers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 51% |
| Rams 1H O/U 8.5 | 51% |
| Chargers O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Rams O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Chargers O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Chargers O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Chargers O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Chargers O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Rams O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Rams O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Rams O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Rams O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Rams by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Rams by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Rams by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Rams by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Rams by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Chargers by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Chargers by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Chargers by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Chargers by 21+ | 50% |
| Rams Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Rams vs. Chargers: Total Defensive/Special Teams TDs O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Rams vs. Chargers: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Chargers 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Chargers 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Chargers 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Rams 1H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Rams 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 49% |
| 2H Moneyline | 49% |
| Spread -3.5 | 48% |
| O/U 38.5 | 48% |
| Spread -4.5 | 44% |
| O/U 39.5 | 43% |
| Spread -6.5 | 41% |
| Rams vs. Chargers | 40% |
| 1H O/U 20.5 | 40% |
| O/U 41.5 | 38% |
| 1H Moneyline | 31% |
| O/U 47.5 | 27% |
| O/U 45.5 | 23% |
| O/U 51.5 | 13% |
| O/U 57.5 | 7% |
Market context
Rams vs. Chargers. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 40% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-08-28T02:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $112K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Rams vs. Chargers on Kalshi Fees
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