New York City FC vs. Philadelphia Union - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

New York City FC meet Philadelphia Union at Yankee Stadium on 16 August 2026, with kick-off listed at 22:00 UTC / 6:00 pm ET. The market’s 0% yes price suggests the contract is already effectively being treated as dead, so the main question is not match quality but whether the event resolved inside the settlement window ending at 22:00 UTC that night. That makes timing, venue, and any feed mismatch the key operational variables.

Historically, NYCFC–Philadelphia fixtures have been tight and regular-season MLS games often settle on simple state changes rather than long-shot scoreline narratives; recent listings show both teams available across multiple match pages, with prior meetings between the sides producing a modest edge either way rather than a consistent blowout pattern. For a power user, that means modelling this market as a binary settlement check: confirm the fixture went live, confirm the correct competition tag, then reconcile the contract’s “more markets” wording against the platform’s event metadata before any automated order logic fires.

The practical catalysts are straightforward: official kick-off confirmation, any late schedule shift, and whether the match is treated as a standard MLS regular-season event at Yankee Stadium. Public listings also showed Apple TV coverage and boxscore pricing for the game, which is useful for dependency checks in bots or conditional orders because the market can be invalidated by data-feed timing, not just by the football itself.

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Methodology

We track New York City FC vs. Philadelphia Union - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.