Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Columbus Crew O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| New York City FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| New York City FC O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| New York City FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Columbus Crew 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| New York City FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Columbus Crew (-1.5) | 0% |
| New York City FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| Columbus Crew (-2.5) | 0% |
| New York City FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Columbus Crew O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Columbus Crew O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| New York City FC O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Columbus Crew 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Columbus Crew 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| New York City FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Columbus Crew 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| New York City FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Columbus Crew and New York City FC meet in MLS on 22 July at 7:30 pm ET, and the “More markets” contract is really a bundle of side-questions around that single match rather than the outright result. With the crowd still pricing the market at **0% YES**, the live book is effectively saying there is no visible consensus on which auxiliary condition will clear, which is common when the contract scope is broader than a standard win/draw/win line.
The historical frame is a fairly even head-to-head, which matters because side markets often inherit the same uncertainty as the underlying fixture. FootyStats lists 28 previous meetings with Columbus winning 11, New York City FC winning 9, and 8 draws, while another head-to-head page shows 25 meetings with Columbus on 10 wins, New York City FC on 7, and 8 draws.[3][1] For a power user automating entries, that kind of split usually argues for treating the market as low-conviction until the exact sub-market definitions and any live data feed are confirmed, because programmatic copy-trading or conditional orders can misfire if the contract wrapper is broader than expected.
The main catalysts are match-day specifics: starting XIs, late injuries, weather, and any schedule or lineup news that changes how the game state evolves before kickoff. Flashscore’s match listing indicates the fixture itself and shows an under 4.5 goals lean in its live preview, which is the sort of signal a bot might monitor alongside official team announcements and MLS availability updates before triggering orders.[4] For a tooling workflow, the practical dependency is not just who starts, but whether the market’s settlement language keys off goals, cards, corners, or another stat, because the same fixture can generate very different probabilities once those definitions are encoded.
Methodology
This page reviews Columbus Crew vs. New York City FC - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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