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Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves

Five-platform snapshot of "Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

NRFI 100% Spread -1.5 100% O/U 9.5 100% 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 100% Volume: $434K Closes: 8 Aug 2026
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Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
NRFI100%
Spread -1.5100%
O/U 9.5100%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
O/U 8.5100%
O/U 10.5100%
Spread -3.5100%
O/U 7.5100%
Spread -4.5100%
O/U 6.5100%
O/U 5.5100%
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves0%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.50%
Extra Innings0%
Spread -1.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -7.50%
O/U 11.50%
O/U 12.50%

Market context

The Nationals and Braves are playing a late-season divisional game, with Atlanta carrying the stronger underlying profile: recent scorelines and season numbers in the results show the Braves ahead in record, run prevention, and home form, while Washington has been more inconsistent and has recently dropped a sequence of games. Atlanta’s pitching metrics in the supplied results are notably better than Washington’s, and the Braves also have the more favourable head-to-head baseline from earlier meetings this season, which is the sort of setup that normally keeps a moneyline market heavily tilted towards Atlanta.[1][12][16]

A **0% YES** price is not a literal impossibility; it usually reflects a market that is either extremely one-sided or thin enough that the display has rounded down the estimated probability. In a programmatic workflow, that matters because copy-trading or conditional-order logic should not treat 0% as “cannot happen” but as “the current book is offering no visible support for the underdog”. Comparable Braves-Nationals results in the supplied record include Atlanta wins by multiple runs as well as a Washington shut-out win, which underlines that the matchup can move quickly if starting pitching or early run production flips the script.[3][8][11]

For traders watching catalysts, the main variables are the confirmed line-ups, announced starters, and any late changes to pitching or travel that could alter Atlanta’s edge; in MLB these inputs often arrive close to first pitch and can move pre-game prices sharply. Because the settlement window extends past the scheduled game time, a postponement would keep the market open until a make-up is played, so automated strategies should watch official schedule updates as well as the final box score rather than assuming same-day resolution.[1][19]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices NRFI at 100% for "Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves".

NRFI 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $434K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Related Topics

Sports