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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves

Live odds for "Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 68% O/U 6.5 56% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 52% NRFI 44% Volume: $281K Liquidity: $1.1M Closes: 18 Sept 2026
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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
68% 32% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
68% 32% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.568%
O/U 6.556%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.552%
NRFI44%
Spread -1.544%
O/U 7.544%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.540%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves38%
O/U 8.538%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.537%
Spread -2.532%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.527%
Spread -1.526%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.519%
Spread -2.518%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.516%
Extra Innings9%

Market context

The Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves prediction market currently prices this outcome at 68% YES. In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for September 11 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillie…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 68% for "Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 68% Other 32%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $281K.

Methodology

This page reviews Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Related Topics

Sports