New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is the Major League Baseball game between the New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox, played on 25 June 2026 at Fenway Park, which concluded with the Red Sox winning 6–3. This result is already confirmed in the official final statistics, meaning the market has effectively settled with the Yankees failing to win[1][2]. For a power-user approaching this programmatically, the 0% crowd-implied probability for the Yankees is not a speculative forecast but a reflection of settled fact, rendering conditional orders or copy-trading strategies for this specific outcome obsolete.

Historically, similar markets where the game has already been completed show probabilities collapsing to 0% or 100% within minutes of the final whistle, as arbitrage bots eliminate any lag between the real-world result and market pricing. In this case, the Yankees’ loss is documented across multiple official sources, confirming that no further volatility exists for the “Yankees win” outcome[1][8]. Comparable cases from the 2025 and 2024 MLB seasons demonstrate that once the final score is recorded, prediction markets resolve instantly, with no meaningful delay for human traders to act.

Traders should monitor the official MLB settlement announcement and any potential postponement notices, though none apply here as the game has been completed. Recent coverage from ESPN confirms the final score and team records, solidifying the resolution source[2]. For algorithmic traders, the key dependency is the timestamp of the official final statistics release, which has already occurred. Any conditional orders placed after this point would be rejected by the exchange, as the market is no longer open for new positions. The only remaining action is to verify the settlement against the primary resolution source, which is the official final statistics of the event as recognised by the governing body[1].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.