Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
75% | 25% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
75% | 25% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | 75% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | 60% |
| O/U 7.5 | 55% |
| NRFI | 48% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | 47% |
| O/U 8.5 | 46% |
| Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees | 44% |
| Spread -1.5 | 38% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 | 35% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 32% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 30% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 | 23% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 | 21% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 | 13% |
| Extra Innings | 7% |
Market context
The Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees prediction market currently prices this outcome at 75% YES. In the upcoming MLB game between the Detroit Tigers and New York Yankees, scheduled for June 29 at 7:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tigers win the game. This ma…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $215K.
Methodology
We track Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees on Kalshi Fees
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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