Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| CF Pachuca O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Querétaro FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| CF Pachuca 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 99% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 51% |
| Querétaro FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| CF Pachuca 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| CF Pachuca 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Querétaro FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| O/U 2.5 | 11% |
| CF Pachuca O/U 1.5 | 7% |
| Querétaro FC O/U 1.5 | 7% |
| CF Pachuca O/U 2.5 | 4% |
| Querétaro FC O/U 2.5 | 2% |
| CF Pachuca (-1.5) | 1% |
| Querétaro FC (-1.5) | 1% |
| O/U 3.5 | 1% |
| O/U 4.5 | 1% |
| CF Pachuca 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| Querétaro FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| CF Pachuca (-2.5) | 0% |
| Querétaro FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Querétaro FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
Market context
CF Pachuca vs Querétaro FC is a Liga MX fixture scheduled for 26 July at 9:00 PM ET, and the “More Markets” contract is about whether any of the additional sub-markets attached to that game resolve affirmatively before the settlement window closes. For power-users, this is the kind of market that is usually best handled with programme-driven checks against the match card, because the relevant trigger can depend on the official event feed, market groupings, and any last-minute suspension or re-listing rather than the headline scoreline alone.
The recent head-to-head profile gives limited support for a high-probability reading of an expansive “more markets” outcome. Pachuca beat Querétaro 2-0 in September 2025, while the Clausura meeting on 1 February 2026 finished 0-0 in Querétaro, and the FootyStats listing also shows a 0-1 result in the series record.[3][4][1] That mixed recent pattern matters for automated traders because low-scoring, tight games can leave many derivative markets unresolved or land them on the wrong side of common thresholds, which helps explain why the crowd is pricing this contract at just 1% YES.
The main catalysts to watch are official line-up timing, any schedule change, and whether the exchange’s definition of “more markets” is tied to in-play availability, settlement of a specific side market, or the presence of at least one winning derivative. In practice, a bot or conditional-order workflow would monitor pre-match status updates, then compare the live market catalogue with the event template before committing capital, since a late suspension or market-removal can be more important here than the match itself.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC - More Markets on Kalshi Fees
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →