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LoL: Winthrop University vs Maryville University (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: Winthrop University vs Maryville University (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 3.5 Games 67% Game 4 Winner 56% Odd/Even Total Kills 56% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 52% Volume: $72K Liquidity: $120K Closes: 11 Sept 2026
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LoL: Winthrop University vs Maryville University (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 67% 33% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 67% 33% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 3.5 Games67%
Game 4 Winner56%
Odd/Even Total Kills56%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon52%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Game Handicap: MVU (-1.5) vs Winthrop University (+1.5)48%
Odd/Even Total Kills43%
Game 3 Winner39%
Odd/Even Total Kills39%
Game 1 Winner38%
Game 2 Winner38%
Odd/Even Total Kills36%
Match Winner32%
O/U 4.5 Games28%
Game Handicap: MVU (-2.5) vs Winthrop University (+2.5)23%
Any Player Penta Kill11%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 67% probability to lol: winthrop university vs maryville university (bo5) - north american challengers league playoffs. This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between Winthrop University and Maryville University in the North American Challengers League Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 10, 20…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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