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LoL: Team Liquid vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: Team Liquid vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Season" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Game 1 Winner 100% Game 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5) 100% Volume: $159K Liquidity: $701K Closes: 6 Sept 2026
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LoL: Team Liquid vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Game 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)100%
Odd/Even Total Kills100%
First Blood in Game 1?100%
First Blood in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 15.5 in Game 2?100%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?50%
Odd/Even Total Kills45%
Any Player Penta Kill37%
Odd/Even Total Kills1%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?1%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of lol: team liquid vs dignitas (bo3) - lcs regular season. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL match between Team Liquid and Dignitas in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. This market will resolve t…

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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