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LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Playoffs

Comparison of odds and platforms for "LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Playoffs" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi Fees.

Match Winner 85% Game 1 Winner 72% Game 2 Winner 70% Game 3 Winner 70% Volume: $160K Liquidity: $1.3M Closes: 29 Aug 2026
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LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 85% 15% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 85% 15% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner85%
Game 1 Winner72%
Game 2 Winner70%
Game 3 Winner70%
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)68%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon65%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon65%
Game 4 Winner64%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon64%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?62%
First Blood in Game 2?61%
O/U 3.5 Games60%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?60%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?57%
First Blood in Game 1?55%
Any Player Quadra Kill54%
Any Player Quadra Kill54%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 4?50%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?43%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?42%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon41%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon40%
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5)37%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?36%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?30%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Any Player Penta Kill24%
O/U 4.5 Games23%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?23%

Market context

Market consensus: 85% chance of lol: t1 vs bnk fearx (bo5) - lck playoffs. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between T1 and BNK FEARX in the LCK Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market w…

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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