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LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Comparison of odds and platforms for "LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi Fees.

Match Winner 87% Game 1 Winner 85% Game 2 Winner 75% Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5) 67% Volume: $180K Liquidity: $457K Closes: 11 Aug 2026
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LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
87% 13% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
87% 13% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner87%
Game 1 Winner85%
Game 2 Winner75%
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5)67%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?41%
O/U 2.5 Games31%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?23%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?18%

Market context

The LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season prediction market currently prices this outcome at 87% YES. This market refers to the LoL match between LOS and paiN Gaming in the CBLOL Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 10 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "LOS" if LOS win the match aga…

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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