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LoL: LOUD vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: LOUD vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 2.5 Games 58% Any Player Penta Kill 51% Any Player Penta Kill 51% Any Player Quadra Kill 51% Volume: $244K Liquidity: $292K Closes: 26 Jul 2026
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LoL: LOUD vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 58% 42% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 58% 42% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 2.5 Games58%
Any Player Penta Kill51%
Any Player Penta Kill51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
First Blood in Game 1?51%
Game 2 Winner50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?50%
Game Handicap: PNG (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)50%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?46%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?30%
Match Winner27%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game Handicap: LLL (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5)0%

Market context

The LoL: LOUD vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season prediction market currently prices this outcome at 58% YES. This market refers to the LoL match between LOUD and paiN Gaming in the CBLOL Regular Season, initially scheduled for July 25 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "LOUD" if LOUD win the match ag…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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