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LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 3.5 Games 70% Match Winner 69% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 64% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 64% Volume: $58K Liquidity: $151K Closes: 11 Sept 2026
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LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 70% 30% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 70% 30% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 3.5 Games70%
Match Winner69%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon64%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon64%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon64%
Game 2 Winner61%
Game 1 Winner60%
Game 3 Winner60%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?59%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?59%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?57%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?57%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
Game Handicap: KT.C (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5)52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
First Blood in Game 1?52%
First Blood in Game 3?51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?48%
First Blood in Game 2?47%
First Blood in Game 4?46%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?46%
Game 4 Winner45%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon41%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon41%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?33%
O/U 4.5 Games31%
Any Player Quadra Kill29%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Game Handicap: KT.C (-2.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+2.5)26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill12%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, lol: kt rolster challengers vs dn soopers challengers (bo5) - lck challengers league playoffs stands at 70% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between KT Rolster Challengers and DN SOOPers Challengers in the LCK Challengers League Playoffs, initially scheduled fo…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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