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LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs BIG (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs BIG (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 90% Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors 90% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 10% Any Player Quadra Kill 10% Volume: $234K Liquidity: $204K Closes: 2 Jul 2026
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LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs BIG (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
90% 10% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
90% 10% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon90%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors90%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Odd/Even Total Kills10%
Match Winner0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 90% YES probability for LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs BIG (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season. This market refers to the LoL match between Kaufland Hangry Knights and BIG in the Prime League 1st Division Regular Season, initially scheduled for July 1 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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