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LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Live odds for "LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 66% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 65% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 65% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 64% Volume: $62K Liquidity: $257K Closes: 24 Jul 2026
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LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
66% 34% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
66% 34% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?66%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon65%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon65%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?64%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)63%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 1?45%
First Blood in Game 2?44%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon41%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?39%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?37%
O/U 2.5 Games31%
Any Player Quadra Kill29%
Any Player Quadra Kill29%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Game 2 Winner23%
Game 1 Winner22%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor16%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor16%
Match Winner14%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors13%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors13%

Market context

Market consensus: 66% chance of lol: edward gaming vs bilibili gaming (bo3) - lpl group ascend. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL match between EDward Gaming and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for July 24 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "E…

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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