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LoL: Deer Gaming vs Verdant (BO5) - NLC Playoffs

Comparison of odds and platforms for "LoL: Deer Gaming vs Verdant (BO5) - NLC Playoffs" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi Fees.

Game 1 Winner 100% O/U 3.5 Games 100% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 100% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 91% Volume: $233K Liquidity: $1.0M Closes: 9 Sept 2026
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LoL: Deer Gaming vs Verdant (BO5) - NLC Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
O/U 3.5 Games100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon91%
Odd/Even Total Kills91%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon49%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor48%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors48%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors25%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor25%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon25%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor9%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors9%
Game 2 Winner0%
Game 3 Winner0%
Game 4 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 4.5 Games0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of lol: deer gaming vs verdant (bo5) - nlc playoffs. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between Deer Gaming and Verdant in the NLC Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This mar…

Methodology

We track LoL: Deer Gaming vs Verdant (BO5) - NLC Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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