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LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 80% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 79% Any Player Quadra Kill 54% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 53% Volume: $65K Liquidity: $255K Closes: 21 Aug 2026
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LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
80% 20% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
80% 20% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon80%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon79%
Any Player Quadra Kill54%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?53%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?53%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
Any Player Penta Kill51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
First Blood in Game 2?49%
First Blood in Game 1?49%
Game 2 Winner48%
Game 1 Winner47%
Match Winner45%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon40%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?40%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?40%
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)30%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor16%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor13%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors11%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors11%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 80% probability to lol: hanjin brion vs bnk fearx (bo3) - lck round 3-4 rise group. This market refers to the LoL match between HANJIN BRION and BNK FEARX in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRIO…

Methodology

We track LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

Trade LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4… on Kalshi Fees

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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