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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Live odds for "LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Match Winner 80% Game 1 Winner 72% Game 2 Winner 72% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 56% Volume: $295K Liquidity: $958K Closes: 17 Jul 2026
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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
80% 20% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
80% 20% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner80%
Game 1 Winner72%
Game 2 Winner72%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon56%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon56%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?53%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)52%
Any Player Quadra Kill52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Any Player Penta Kill51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon49%
Any Player Quadra Kill45%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors44%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?44%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor43%
Any Player Quadra Kill43%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor43%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors43%
O/U 2.5 Games40%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?40%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?38%
First Blood in Game 1?31%
First Blood in Game 2?30%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%

Market context

Market consensus: 80% chance of lol: bilibili gaming vs dplus kia (bo3) - esports world cup playoffs. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 4 match between Bilibili Gaming and Dplus KIA in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 17 at 9:30AM ET. This mark…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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