Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| San Diego FC 1 - 0 Club Tijuana | 100% |
| San Diego FC 0 - 0 Club Tijuana | 0% |
| San Diego FC 0 - 1 Club Tijuana | 0% |
| San Diego FC 0 - 2 Club Tijuana | 0% |
| San Diego FC 1 - 1 Club Tijuana | 0% |
| San Diego FC 2 - 0 Club Tijuana | 0% |
| San Diego FC 0 - 3 Club Tijuana | 0% |
| San Diego FC 1 - 2 Club Tijuana | 0% |
| San Diego FC 2 - 1 Club Tijuana | 0% |
| San Diego FC 3 - 0 Club Tijuana | 0% |
| San Diego FC 1 - 3 Club Tijuana | 0% |
| San Diego FC 2 - 2 Club Tijuana | 0% |
| San Diego FC 3 - 1 Club Tijuana | 0% |
| San Diego FC 2 - 3 Club Tijuana | 0% |
| San Diego FC 3 - 2 Club Tijuana | 0% |
| San Diego FC 3 - 3 Club Tijuana | 0% |
| Any Other Score | 0% |
Market context
San Diego FC’s Leagues Cup meeting with Club Tijuana is a regulation-time score market, so the programmatic question is not who advances, but which exact 90-minute line lands before stoppage time is added. The current crowd-implied **0% YES** is best read as a thin, illiquid book rather than a true impossibility: exact-score markets are usually fragmented because many individual scorelines are plausible, while the settlement rule also routes anything outside the listed grid into **Any Other Score**.
The recent comparison set points to a modest-scoring profile, not a shootout. San Diego were beaten 3-1 by Club América in their previous Leagues Cup outing and had drawn 1-1 with Minnesota before that, while Tijuana lost 2-0 to Austin and drew 0-0 away to Atlético San Luis in league play; earlier head-to-heads include San Diego’s 4-2 friendly win in September 2025 and a 1-0 win reported in the August 2026 live listings.[10][13][7][2] For a trader using conditional orders or automated triggers, that mix argues for watching whether the market stays centred on low total goals and whether the platform lists common exact scores such as 1-0, 1-1 or 2-1, since those are the lines most likely to absorb flow if team news points to conservative line-ups.
The main catalysts are the official team sheets, late injury or rotation announcements, and any schedule changes that affect whether the match starts on time or is completed in full, because postponement keeps the market open until the fixture is played.[9][10] If the live pre-match feed tightens around a single expected script, exact-score pricing can move quickly; if not, the “Any Other Score” bucket remains structurally important in a market like this, especially when the settlement excludes extra time and penalties.[9]
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade San Diego FC vs. Club Tijuana - Exact Score on Kalshi Fees
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