Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Inter Miami CF O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Inter Miami CF O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Club León FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Club León FC O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Club León FC O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Inter Miami CF 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Inter Miami CF 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Club León FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Club León FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Inter Miami CF (-1.5) | 0% |
| Club León FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| Inter Miami CF (-2.5) | 0% |
| Club León FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Inter Miami CF O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Inter Miami CF 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Club León FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Club León FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Inter Miami CF 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Inter Miami CF will face Club León FC in a Leagues Cup fixture on 12 August at 7:30 PM ET. The Leagues Cup is a biennial knockout tournament contested by Major League Soccer and Liga MX clubs, with matches typically decided in 90 minutes or via penalty shootout if level after regulation. This particular matchup sits within the competition's group or knockout phase, depending on the tournament's 2026 format iteration.
The 0% implied probability suggests this market is either newly created with sparse liquidity or the "More Markets" designation refers to secondary betting lines (e.g., exact scorelines, player props, or conditional outcomes) rather than a primary match result. Historical Leagues Cup data shows Inter Miami has competed inconsistently in the tournament; their performance correlates more closely with MLS regular-season form than with knockout-stage pedigree. León, a Liga MX heavyweight, typically advances further in continental competitions. When comparing similar MLS-versus-Liga MX matchups in the Leagues Cup, Liga MX sides have won roughly 55–60% of encounters since 2015, though home-field advantage and squad depth at fixture time matter substantially.
Traders should monitor team news releases and official Leagues Cup communications through early August for squad availability, injury updates, and any fixture rescheduling. Pre-match odds from established sportsbooks will provide calibration; sharp movement in those markets often precedes meaningful shifts in prediction market pricing. Programmatically, conditional orders tied to official team lineups or pre-match odds thresholds can automate entry logic, whilst API feeds from sports data providers will flag late-breaking roster changes that affect expected value calculations.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade Inter Miami CF vs. Club León FC - More Markets on Kalshi Fees
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →