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Charlotte FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Charlotte FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Charlotte FC (-1.5) 100% Charlotte FC (-2.5) 100% O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% Volume: $89K Liquidity: $415K Closes: 5 Aug 2026
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Charlotte FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Charlotte FC (-1.5)100%
Charlotte FC (-2.5)100%
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Charlotte FC O/U 0.5100%
Charlotte FC O/U 1.5100%
Charlotte FC O/U 2.5100%
Charlotte FC 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
Charlotte FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Charlotte FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5)0%
Pumas de la UNAM (-2.5)0%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Pumas de la UNAM O/U 0.50%
Pumas de la UNAM O/U 1.50%
Pumas de la UNAM O/U 2.50%
Charlotte FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Pumas de la UNAM 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Pumas de la UNAM 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
Pumas de la UNAM 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Pumas de la UNAM 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Charlotte FC meet Pumas UNAM in a Leagues Cup match at Bank of America Stadium, with the market’s 100% YES reading signalling that the “More Markets” condition has already been treated as effectively certain. The practical takeaway for a trader using an API, bot or conditional-order stack is that the event itself is fixed, but the specific ancillary market still needs checking against the live market rules and settlement text, because these products often turn on official line-ups, cards, goals, corners or other match-state data rather than the final score alone.[4][5]

There is no recorded head-to-head history between Charlotte and Pumas in the available datasets, so the better frame is cross-league comparison rather than direct precedent.[1][6] Charlotte’s recent MLS form before this fixture included a 2-1 loss at Chicago and a mixed run of results, while Pumas arrived after a strong 5-1 win at Juárez and other Apertura matches, which is the sort of split profile that usually keeps derivative markets live even when the main fixture outcome is already priced.[12] For programmatic approaches, comparable cases are usually read by combining recent team form, competition context and whether the market is tied to in-game events or post-match official statistics.[1][12]

The main catalysts to watch are squad news, confirmed line-ups, substitution patterns and any competition-specific scheduling or data-feed dependencies, because those are the inputs that can alter ancillary settlement even after kick-off.[4][9] If a trader is automating this, the most useful checks are timestamp alignment, official match status, and whether the operator settles from live event data or from the competition’s final statistics feed; ESPN and Yahoo both list the match as a Leagues Cup group game at the stated venue and start time, which is the baseline reference point for those checks.[5][9]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Charlotte FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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