Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

Bucheon FC 1995 and FC Anyang meet in a K-League fixture with the “More Markets” contract settling on the match’s in-play and ancillary outcomes, so the cleanest way to handle a 0% YES reading is as a data sanity check rather than a price signal. The available pre-match tools are already pointing to a narrow, non-lopsided game: one preview prices the away side as a slight favourite at 2.45 versus 2.88 for the home side and 3.10 for the draw, while another live stats page shows a 48% win probability for FC Anyang, 29% for the draw and 23% for Bucheon.[3][4]

Historically, this pairing has not behaved like a one-sided fixture. FootyStats lists 48 head-to-head meetings, with Bucheon winning 13, Anyang winning 20 and 15 draws, which is enough volume for a programme to treat prior meetings as a modest prior rather than a decisive edge.[5][6] For traders using bots or conditional orders, that means the market should be read against the live match feed and the exact sub-market definitions: if the contract refers to a specific “more markets” outcome, the trigger is likely to be driven by whether the listed ancillary conditions are instantiated, not by the final score alone.

The practical catalysts are the match confirmation, the final lineup post, and any late schedule or competition-operator changes, because those are the events most likely to move a thin, template-like market from inactive to live. A fixture page for the game is already published, and one tracker notes that no predictions had been made for the match at the time of capture, which is consistent with a market that can stay dormant until the event feed is populated.[2] For automated trading, the useful watchpoints are team-sheet publication, kick-off status, and whether the market specification changes before settlement at 2026-07-22T10:30:00Z.[1][2]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.