Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| FC Anyang | 100% |
| Bucheon FC 1995 | 0% |
| Draw | 0% |
Market context
Bucheon FC 1995 are due to meet FC Anyang in the K-League, and a 0% crowd-implied YES price means the market is currently treating the event as fully unrealised rather than assigning any live probability. For a power-user running this through a bot or conditional-order stack, that makes the key task less about price discovery and more about verifying whether the listed fixture still matches the official competition schedule and settlement wording before any automation is triggered.
The historical frame is not one-sided enough to justify a mechanical blind short or long: across 48 reported head-to-head meetings, Bucheon have 13 wins, Anyang 20, and 15 draws, which points to a relatively balanced derby-style matchup with draw risk still material.[1][7] Recent matchup pages also show narrower samples with Anyang ahead in the last 10 meetings, again suggesting that past results support caution rather than treating either side as dominant.[4] In a programmatic workflow, that is the sort of profile where traders often wait for line-up feeds, injury flags, and market-state changes rather than pre-loading aggressive exposure.
The main catalysts to watch are the standard late edges: official team news, any schedule change, and whether the fixture is actually being played on the published date and venue, because settlement depends on the exact event definition.[1][3] If the market was created around the K-League schedule, any postponement, abandonment, or rerun-style clarification would matter more than pre-match sentiment; that is the point at which copy-trading and automated orders need explicit event-status checks rather than relying on the headline fixture alone.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $168K.
Methodology
We track Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang on Kalshi Fees
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →