Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Daejeon Hana Citizen FC | 100% |
| FC Anyang | 0% |
| Draw | 0% |
Market context
FC Anyang host Daejeon Hana Citizen in the K League 1, with the market currently pricing a **0% YES** outcome even though the fixture is still live within the settlement window. In practical trading terms, that makes the contract look like an end-state check on whether the match can still resolve in the affirmative before 11:00 UTC, so a power-user would treat the feed as a binary event monitor and track official match status, line-ups and final whistle timing rather than raw pre-match opinion.
The historical frame is not strongly one-sided. Across the head-to-head data available, Daejeon have a modest edge overall, but the matchup has also produced a high share of draws: FotMob lists 9 FC Anyang wins, 13 Daejeon wins and 14 draws, while other aggregators show broadly similar totals and recent meetings including a 1-1 draw on 31 May 2025 and a 3-2 Anyang win on 24 August 2025.[1][9][13][16] For a programmatic workflow, that means the market should not be read as a clean favourite/underdog split; instead, the more relevant signal is whether the match is progressing toward a completed result at all, with the draw-heavy history making late settlement logic and status updates more important than the pre-match scoreline consensus.[1][9]
Catalysts to watch are the usual operational dependencies: official kick-off, confirmed line-ups, any postponement or abandonment, and whether the fixture reaches full time before the settlement cut-off. Live score and match-centre providers are already listing the game with live coverage, which is the sort of input a bot or conditional-order setup would poll continuously for state changes, especially around in-play stoppages or time adjustments that can affect whether the market resolves before the window closes.[4][17]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $83K.
Methodology
We track FC Anyang vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade FC Anyang vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC on Kalshi Fees
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