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ITF Brisbane: Jake Dembo vs Tai Leonard Sach

How the prediction-market book is pricing "ITF Brisbane: Jake Dembo vs Tai Leonard Sach" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

ITF Brisbane: Jake Dembo vs Tai Leonard Sach 50% ITF Brisbane: Jake Dembo vs Tai Leonard Sach Total Sets: O/U 2.5 50% ITF Brisbane: Jake Dembo vs Tai Leonard Sach Set 1 Winner 50% ITF Brisbane: Jake Dembo vs Tai Leonard Sach Set 2 O/U 8.5 50% Volume: $111K Closes: 22 Jul 2026
Open live market →
ITF Brisbane: Jake Dembo vs Tai Leonard Sach

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
50% 50% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
50% 50% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
ITF Brisbane: Jake Dembo vs Tai Leonard Sach50%
ITF Brisbane: Jake Dembo vs Tai Leonard Sach Total Sets: O/U 2.550%
ITF Brisbane: Jake Dembo vs Tai Leonard Sach Set 1 Winner50%
ITF Brisbane: Jake Dembo vs Tai Leonard Sach Set 2 O/U 8.550%
ITF Brisbane: Jake Dembo vs Tai Leonard Sach Set 2 Winner50%
ITF Brisbane: Jake Dembo vs Tai Leonard Sach Set Handicap +/-1.550%
ITF Brisbane: Jake Dembo vs Tai Leonard Sach Match O/U 21.550%
ITF Brisbane: Jake Dembo vs Tai Leonard Sach Set 1 O/U 8.550%
ITF Brisbane: Jake Dembo vs Tai Leonard Sach Set 2 O/U 9.550%
ITF Brisbane: Jake Dembo vs Tai Leonard Sach Set 1 O/U 9.550%
ITF Brisbane: Jake Dembo vs Tai Leonard Sach Set Handicap +/-1.550%
ITF Brisbane: Jake Dembo vs Tai Leonard Sach Match O/U 22.550%
ITF Brisbane: Jake Dembo vs Tai Leonard Sach Set 2 O/U 10.550%
ITF Brisbane: Jake Dembo vs Tai Leonard Sach Match O/U 23.550%
ITF Brisbane: Jake Dembo vs Tai Leonard Sach Set 1 O/U 10.550%
Completed Match0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 50% probability to itf brisbane: jake dembo vs tai leonard sach. This market refers to the tennis match between Jake Dembo and Tai Leonard Sach in the ITF Men Brisbane, originally scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jake Dembo' i…

Methodology

We track ITF Brisbane: Jake Dembo vs Tai Leonard Sach across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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