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ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Ilinca Amariei vs Weronika Ewald

Five-platform snapshot of "ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Ilinca Amariei vs Weronika Ewald" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Ilinca Amariei vs Weronika Ewald Set 2 Winner 100% ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Ilinca Amariei vs Weronika Ewald Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Ilinca Amariei vs Weronika Ewald Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Ilinca Amariei vs Weronika Ewald Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Volume: $59K Liquidity: $514 Closes: 26 Aug 2026
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ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Ilinca Amariei vs Weronika Ewald

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Ilinca Amariei vs Weronika Ewald Set 2 Winner100%
ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Ilinca Amariei vs Weronika Ewald Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Ilinca Amariei vs Weronika Ewald Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Ilinca Amariei vs Weronika Ewald Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Ilinca Amariei vs Weronika Ewald Match O/U 21.5100%
ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Ilinca Amariei vs Weronika Ewald Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Ilinca Amariei vs Weronika Ewald Match O/U 22.5100%
ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Ilinca Amariei vs Weronika Ewald Match O/U 23.5100%
Completed Match50%
ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Ilinca Amariei vs Weronika Ewald16%
ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Ilinca Amariei vs Weronika Ewald Set 1 Winner0%
ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Ilinca Amariei vs Weronika Ewald Set Handicap +/-1.50%
ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Ilinca Amariei vs Weronika Ewald Set 2 O/U 9.50%
ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Ilinca Amariei vs Weronika Ewald Set Handicap +/-1.50%
ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Ilinca Amariei vs Weronika Ewald Set 1 O/U 10.50%
ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Ilinca Amariei vs Weronika Ewald Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to itf w35 bistrita women: ilinca amariei vs weronika ewald. This market refers to the tennis match between Ilinca Amariei and Weronika Ewald in the ITF W35 Bistrita Women, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ili…

Methodology

This page reviews ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Ilinca Amariei vs Weronika Ewald across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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