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MTK Budapest vs. Puskas Akademia FC Felcsut - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "MTK Budapest vs. Puskas Akademia FC Felcsut - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% O/U 2.5 100% O/U 3.5 100% Volume: $75K Closes: 7 Aug 2026
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MTK Budapest vs. Puskas Akademia FC Felcsut - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
O/U 3.5100%
O/U 4.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 1.5100%
MTK Budapest O/U 0.5100%
MTK Budapest O/U 1.5100%
Puskas Akademia FC Felcsut O/U 0.5100%
Puskas Akademia FC Felcsut O/U 1.5100%
Puskas Akademia FC Felcsut O/U 2.5100%
Puskas Akademia FC Felcsut 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Puskas Akademia FC Felcsut 1st Half O/U 1.5100%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
2nd Half O/U 2.5100%
MTK Budapest 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
MTK Budapest 2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
Puskas Akademia FC Felcsut 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
MTK Budapest (-1.5)0%
Puskas Akademia FC Felcsut (-1.5)0%
MTK Budapest (-2.5)0%
Puskas Akademia FC Felcsut (-2.5)0%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
MTK Budapest O/U 2.50%
MTK Budapest 1st Half O/U 0.50%
MTK Budapest 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Puskas Akademia FC Felcsut 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

MTK Budapest and Puskás Akadémia meet in Hungary’s NB I, and the “more markets” contract is about whether the game throws up enough secondary pricing action to matter beyond the main result line. For a power user running bots or conditional orders, the practical read is to treat this as an event-driven football market: the value usually comes from line movement around team news, not from the historical head-to-head alone.

The comparable case for this fixture is a fairly balanced rivalry with a slight edge to Puskás in recent meetings, but not one that has produced a dominant trend in decisive outcomes. Across 24 head-to-head matches since 2010, Puskás have won 10, MTK 11, and three ended level, while recent meetings have often been tight, including multiple 1-1 and 2-2 draws in 2025 and 2026.[1][17] That profile matters for interpreting a 0% crowd-implied YES: it usually signals the market has not yet assigned meaningful probability to a specific “more markets” trigger, rather than proving the game will be quiet.

The main catalysts to watch are lineup releases, late injury or suspension flags, and any schedule or competition dependency that changes how aggressively either side is expected to play, because those are the inputs that can widen totals, cards, and derivative props. Live match states also matter: in the most recent live statistical feed, MTK had more possession and shots on target than Puskás late in the game, which is the sort of in-play shape change that can move associated markets quickly.[12] For automated trading, the sensible approach is to key alerts off official team sheets and in-play shot, corner, and card rates rather than assuming the historical scoreline pattern will repeat.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews MTK Budapest vs. Puskas Akademia FC Felcsut - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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Related Topics

Sports