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Mexico vs. England - Player Props

Five-platform snapshot of "Mexico vs. England - Player Props" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Julián Quiñones: 1+ shots 93% Raúl Jiménez: 1+ shots 88% Harry Kane: 3+ shots 65% Harry Kane: 1+ shots 59% Volume: $562K Liquidity: $802K Closes: 6 Jul 2026
Open live market →
Mexico vs. England - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
93% 7% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
93% 7% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Julián Quiñones: 1+ shots93%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ shots88%
Harry Kane: 3+ shots65%
Harry Kane: 1+ shots59%
Harry Kane: 4+ shots56%
Harry Kane: 2+ shots51%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ shots51%
Armando González: 1+ shots50%
Armando González: 2+ shots50%
Armando González: 3+ shots50%
Armando González: 4+ shots50%
Armando González: 5+ shots50%
Ivan Toney: 1+ shots50%
Ivan Toney: 2+ shots50%
Ivan Toney: 4+ shots50%
Ivan Toney: 5+ shots50%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ shots50%
Marcus Rashford: 3+ shots50%
Marcus Rashford: 4+ shots50%
Marcus Rashford: 5+ shots50%
Ollie Watkins: 1+ shots50%
Ollie Watkins: 2+ shots50%
Ollie Watkins: 3+ shots50%
Ollie Watkins: 4+ shots50%
Ollie Watkins: 5+ shots50%
Santiago Giménez: 1+ shots50%
Santiago Giménez: 2+ shots50%
Santiago Giménez: 3+ shots50%
Santiago Giménez: 4+ shots50%
Santiago Giménez: 5+ shots50%
Armando González: 1+ shots on target50%
Armando González: 2+ shots on target50%
Armando González: 3+ shots on target50%
Harry Kane: 1+ shots on target50%
Ivan Toney: 1+ shots on target50%
Ivan Toney: 2+ shots on target50%
Ivan Toney: 3+ shots on target50%
Ivan Toney: 4+ shots on target50%
Julián Quiñones: 1+ shots on target50%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ shots on target50%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ shots on target50%
Marcus Rashford: 3+ shots on target50%
Ollie Watkins: 1+ shots on target50%
Ollie Watkins: 2+ shots on target50%
Ollie Watkins: 3+ shots on target50%
Ollie Watkins: 4+ shots on target50%
Raúl Jiménez: 3+ shots on target50%
Santiago Giménez: 1+ shots on target50%
Santiago Giménez: 2+ shots on target50%
Jordan Pickford: 2+ saves50%
Jordan Pickford: 3+ saves50%
Jordan Pickford: 4+ saves50%
Jordan Pickford: 5+ saves50%
Raúl Rangel: 2+ saves50%
Raúl Rangel: 3+ saves50%
Raúl Rangel: 4+ saves50%
Raúl Rangel: 5+ saves50%
Harry Kane: 1+ goals + assists50%
Harry Kane: 2+ goals + assists50%
Harry Kane: 3+ goals + assists50%
Harry Kane: 4+ goals + assists50%
Julián Quiñones: 1+ goals + assists50%
Julián Quiñones: 2+ goals + assists50%
Julián Quiñones: 3+ goals + assists50%
Julián Quiñones: 4+ goals + assists50%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ goals + assists50%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ goals + assists50%
Marcus Rashford: 3+ goals + assists50%
Marcus Rashford: 4+ goals + assists50%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goals + assists50%
Raúl Jiménez: 2+ goals + assists50%
Raúl Jiménez: 3+ goals + assists50%
Raúl Jiménez: 4+ goals + assists50%
Santiago Giménez: 3+ shots on target49%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ shots on target47%
Harry Kane: 5+ shots42%
Raúl Jiménez: 2+ shots42%
Harry Kane: 2+ shots on target41%
Harry Kane: 1+ goals39%
Julián Quiñones: 2+ shots38%
Julián Quiñones: 3+ shots36%
Julián Quiñones: 2+ shots on target35%
Raúl Jiménez: 3+ shots30%
Raúl Jiménez: 2+ shots on target27%
Julián Quiñones: 1+ goals25%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goals25%
Harry Kane: 3+ shots on target24%
Julián Quiñones: 3+ shots on target21%
Harry Kane: 4+ shots on target20%
Raúl Jiménez: 4+ shots18%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ goals15%
Julián Quiñones: 4+ shots15%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ assists14%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ assists13%
Ivan Toney: 2+ goals12%
Ivan Toney: 3+ goals12%
Santiago Giménez: 1+ goals12%
Santiago Giménez: 2+ goals12%
Harry Kane: 1+ assists11%
Armando González: 2+ goals10%
Armando González: 3+ goals10%
Harry Kane: 2+ goals10%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ goals10%
Raúl Jiménez: 5+ shots10%
Marcus Rashford: 3+ goals9%
Julián Quiñones: 1+ assists8%
Ollie Watkins: 1+ goals7%
Ollie Watkins: 3+ goals7%
Julián Quiñones: 5+ shots7%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ assists7%
Armando González: 1+ goals6%
Ivan Toney: 3+ shots6%
Ivan Toney: 1+ goals5%
Raúl Jiménez: 2+ goals4%
Julián Quiñones: 2+ assists3%
Raúl Jiménez: 2+ assists3%
Harry Kane: 3+ goals2%
Julián Quiñones: 2+ goals2%
Harry Kane: 2+ assists2%
Julián Quiñones: 3+ goals1%
Raúl Jiménez: 3+ goals1%
Santiago Giménez: 3+ goals1%
Ollie Watkins: 2+ goals0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 93% probability to mexico vs. england - player props. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Mexico and England, scheduled for July 5 at 8:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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