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Mexico vs. Ecuador - Player Props

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Mexico vs. Ecuador - Player Props" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi Fees.

Julián Quiñones: 1+ shots 100% Kevin Rodríguez: 1+ shots 100% Raúl Jiménez: 1+ shots 100% Raúl Jiménez: 2+ shots 100% Volume: $192K Liquidity: $4K Closes: 1 Jul 2026
Open live market →
Mexico vs. Ecuador - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Julián Quiñones: 1+ shots100%
Kevin Rodríguez: 1+ shots100%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ shots100%
Raúl Jiménez: 2+ shots100%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goals + assists100%
Julián Quiñones: 1+ goals100%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goals100%
Julián Quiñones: 1+ assists100%
Julián Quiñones: 1+ shots on target100%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ shots on target100%
Julián Quiñones: 1+ goals + assists100%
Julián Quiñones: 2+ goals + assists100%
Jordy Caicedo: 1+ shots100%
Raúl Jiménez: 3+ shots100%
Raúl Jiménez: 4+ shots90%
Brian Gutiérrez: 1+ shots10%
Julián Quiñones: 2+ shots10%
Kevin Rodríguez: 2+ shots10%
Santiago Giménez: 1+ shots10%
Santiago Giménez: 1+ shots on target10%
Brian Gutiérrez: 1+ shots on target10%
Julián Quiñones: 2+ shots on target10%
Raúl Jiménez: 2+ shots on target10%
Raúl Jiménez: 3+ shots on target10%
Enner Valencia: 1+ shots10%
Jordy Caicedo: 2+ shots10%
Raúl Jiménez: 5+ shots10%
Enner Valencia: 1+ shots on target10%
Raúl Jiménez: 4+ shots on target10%
Brian Gutiérrez: 2+ shots0%
César Huerta: 1+ shots0%
César Huerta: 2+ shots0%
Guillermo Martínez: 1+ shots0%
Guillermo Martínez: 2+ shots0%
Jeremy Arévalo: 1+ shots0%
Jeremy Arévalo: 2+ shots0%
Santiago Giménez: 2+ shots0%
Alexis Vega: 1+ assists0%
Alexis Vega: 2+ assists0%
Armando González: 1+ assists0%
Armando González: 2+ assists0%
Brian Gutiérrez: 1+ assists0%
Brian Gutiérrez: 2+ assists0%
César Huerta: 1+ assists0%
César Huerta: 2+ assists0%
Jeremy Arévalo: 3+ goals0%
Armando González: 2+ shots0%
Santiago Giménez: 2+ shots on target0%
Santiago Giménez: 3+ shots on target0%
Alexis Vega: 1+ goals + assists0%
Alexis Vega: 2+ goals + assists0%
Alexis Vega: 3+ goals + assists0%
Alexis Vega: 4+ goals + assists0%
Armando González: 1+ goals + assists0%
Armando González: 2+ goals + assists0%
Armando González: 3+ goals + assists0%
Armando González: 4+ goals + assists0%
Brian Gutiérrez: 1+ goals + assists0%
Brian Gutiérrez: 2+ goals + assists0%
Brian Gutiérrez: 3+ goals + assists0%
Brian Gutiérrez: 4+ goals + assists0%
Kevin Rodríguez: 1+ goals + assists0%
Kevin Rodríguez: 2+ goals + assists0%
Kevin Rodríguez: 3+ goals + assists0%
Kevin Rodríguez: 4+ goals + assists0%
Raúl Jiménez: 2+ goals + assists0%
Raúl Jiménez: 3+ goals + assists0%
Raúl Jiménez: 4+ goals + assists0%
Santiago Giménez: 1+ goals + assists0%
Santiago Giménez: 2+ goals + assists0%
Santiago Giménez: 3+ goals + assists0%
Santiago Giménez: 4+ goals + assists0%
Enner Valencia: 3+ goals0%
Armando González: 1+ shots0%
Alexis Vega: 3+ goals0%
Kevin Rodríguez: 3+ goals0%
Alexis Vega: 1+ goals0%
Alexis Vega: 2+ goals0%
Armando González: 1+ goals0%
Armando González: 2+ goals0%
Armando González: 3+ goals0%
Enner Valencia: 1+ goals0%
Enner Valencia: 2+ goals0%
Guillermo Martínez: 1+ goals0%
Guillermo Martínez: 2+ goals0%
Guillermo Martínez: 3+ goals0%
Jeremy Arévalo: 1+ goals0%
Jeremy Arévalo: 2+ goals0%
Jordy Caicedo: 1+ goals0%
Jordy Caicedo: 2+ goals0%
Jordy Caicedo: 3+ goals0%
Julián Quiñones: 2+ goals0%
Julián Quiñones: 3+ goals0%
Kevin Rodríguez: 1+ goals0%
Kevin Rodríguez: 2+ goals0%
Raúl Jiménez: 2+ goals0%
Raúl Jiménez: 3+ goals0%
Santiago Giménez: 1+ goals0%
Santiago Giménez: 2+ goals0%
Santiago Giménez: 3+ goals0%
Carlos Acevedo: 2+ saves0%
Carlos Acevedo: 3+ saves0%
Carlos Acevedo: 4+ saves0%
Carlos Acevedo: 5+ saves0%
Moisés Ramírez: 2+ saves0%
Moisés Ramírez: 3+ saves0%
Moisés Ramírez: 4+ saves0%
Moisés Ramírez: 5+ saves0%
Brian Gutiérrez: 1+ goals0%
Brian Gutiérrez: 2+ goals0%
César Huerta: 1+ goals0%
César Huerta: 2+ goals0%
Alexis Vega: 1+ shots0%
Alexis Vega: 2+ shots0%
Jordy Caicedo: 3+ shots on target0%
Guillermo Martínez: 1+ assists0%
Guillermo Martínez: 2+ assists0%
Jeremy Arévalo: 1+ assists0%
Jeremy Arévalo: 2+ assists0%
Julián Quiñones: 2+ assists0%
Kevin Rodríguez: 1+ assists0%
Kevin Rodríguez: 2+ assists0%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ assists0%
Raúl Jiménez: 2+ assists0%
Santiago Giménez: 1+ assists0%
Santiago Giménez: 2+ assists0%
Alexis Vega: 1+ shots on target0%
Alexis Vega: 2+ shots on target0%
Armando González: 1+ shots on target0%
Armando González: 2+ shots on target0%
Armando González: 3+ shots on target0%
Brian Gutiérrez: 2+ shots on target0%
César Huerta: 1+ shots on target0%
César Huerta: 2+ shots on target0%
Guillermo Martínez: 1+ shots on target0%
Guillermo Martínez: 2+ shots on target0%
Guillermo Martínez: 3+ shots on target0%
Jeremy Arévalo: 1+ shots on target0%
Jeremy Arévalo: 2+ shots on target0%
Julián Quiñones: 3+ shots on target0%
Kevin Rodríguez: 1+ shots on target0%
Kevin Rodríguez: 2+ shots on target0%
Kevin Rodríguez: 3+ shots on target0%
César Huerta: 1+ goals + assists0%
César Huerta: 2+ goals + assists0%
César Huerta: 3+ goals + assists0%
César Huerta: 4+ goals + assists0%
Guillermo Martínez: 1+ goals + assists0%
Guillermo Martínez: 2+ goals + assists0%
Guillermo Martínez: 3+ goals + assists0%
Guillermo Martínez: 4+ goals + assists0%
Jeremy Arévalo: 1+ goals + assists0%
Jeremy Arévalo: 2+ goals + assists0%
Jeremy Arévalo: 3+ goals + assists0%
Jeremy Arévalo: 4+ goals + assists0%
Julián Quiñones: 3+ goals + assists0%
Julián Quiñones: 4+ goals + assists0%
Alexis Vega: 3+ shots0%
Alexis Vega: 4+ shots0%
Alexis Vega: 5+ shots0%
Armando González: 3+ shots0%
Armando González: 4+ shots0%
Armando González: 5+ shots0%
Brian Gutiérrez: 3+ shots0%
Brian Gutiérrez: 4+ shots0%
Brian Gutiérrez: 5+ shots0%
Enner Valencia: 2+ shots0%
Enner Valencia: 3+ shots0%
Enner Valencia: 4+ shots0%
Enner Valencia: 5+ shots0%
Guillermo Martínez: 3+ shots0%
Guillermo Martínez: 4+ shots0%
Guillermo Martínez: 5+ shots0%
Jordy Caicedo: 3+ shots0%
Jordy Caicedo: 4+ shots0%
Jordy Caicedo: 5+ shots0%
Julián Quiñones: 3+ shots0%
Julián Quiñones: 4+ shots0%
Julián Quiñones: 5+ shots0%
Kevin Rodríguez: 3+ shots0%
Kevin Rodríguez: 4+ shots0%
Kevin Rodríguez: 5+ shots0%
Santiago Giménez: 3+ shots0%
Santiago Giménez: 4+ shots0%
Santiago Giménez: 5+ shots0%
Enner Valencia: 1+ assists0%
Enner Valencia: 2+ assists0%
Jordy Caicedo: 1+ assists0%
Alexis Vega: 3+ shots on target0%
Brian Gutiérrez: 3+ shots on target0%
Enner Valencia: 2+ shots on target0%
Enner Valencia: 3+ shots on target0%
Enner Valencia: 4+ shots on target0%
Jordy Caicedo: 1+ shots on target0%
Jordy Caicedo: 2+ shots on target0%
Jordy Caicedo: 2+ assists0%
Enner Valencia: 1+ goals + assists0%
Enner Valencia: 2+ goals + assists0%
Enner Valencia: 3+ goals + assists0%
Enner Valencia: 4+ goals + assists0%
Jordy Caicedo: 1+ goals + assists0%
Jordy Caicedo: 2+ goals + assists0%
Jordy Caicedo: 3+ goals + assists0%
Jordy Caicedo: 4+ goals + assists0%
César Huerta: 3+ shots0%
César Huerta: 4+ shots0%
César Huerta: 5+ shots0%
César Huerta: 3+ shots on target0%
Santiago Giménez: 4+ shots on target0%
Julián Quiñones: 4+ shots on target0%
Jeremy Arévalo: 3+ shots on target0%
Jeremy Arévalo: 3+ shots0%
Jeremy Arévalo: 4+ shots0%
Jeremy Arévalo: 5+ shots0%

Market context

The Mexico vs. Ecuador - Player Props prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Mexico and Ecuador, scheduled for June 30 at 9:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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