Japan vs. Sweden - Total Corners

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

On 25 June 2026, Japan and Sweden played a 1-1 draw in Dallas at the FIFA World Cup, with Daizen Maeda scoring for Japan and Anthony Elanga equalising six minutes later[1][3]. Both teams advanced to the knockout round, confirming their progress after a hard-fought Group F match[3]. The game concluded with both sides satisfied, setting up Japan’s next clash against Brazil and Sweden’s path to the last 32[2][3].

Historically, Sweden has qualified for the knockout stage in four of their last five World Cup appearances since 1994, often in tightly contested matches[1]. In comparable group-stage fixtures involving high-stakes draws, total corners have frequently exceeded 8, especially when both teams press for a win late in the game[5]. The 100% YES crowd-implied probability for “Total Corners ≥8” aligns with this pattern, as the match featured sustained attacking phases and multiple corner opportunities, including three in the first half alone[4].

Traders monitoring this market programmatically should watch for real-time corner counts, stoppage-time extensions, and any extra-time declarations in knockout matches, as these directly impact resolution[5]. Recent coverage confirms both teams created corner chances throughout, with Sweden generating three in the opening half and Japan adding one[4]. No further announcements or schedule changes are pending, as the match has already concluded, making historical stats and in-game footage the primary data sources for validation[2][3]. Conditional order bots can now lock in final outcomes based on recorded match statistics.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.