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France vs. Sweden - Total Corners

Five-platform snapshot of "France vs. Sweden - Total Corners" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Total Corners: O/U 6.5 87% Sweden Corners: O/U 1.5 83% Total Corners: O/U 7.5 79% France Corners: O/U 4.5 77% Volume: $365K Liquidity: $1.0M Closes: 30 Jun 2026
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France vs. Sweden - Total Corners

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
87% 13% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
87% 13% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Corners: O/U 6.587%
Sweden Corners: O/U 1.583%
Total Corners: O/U 7.579%
France Corners: O/U 4.577%
2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 3.575%
1st Half Total Corners: O/U 3.570%
Total Corners: O/U 8.568%
Team to Take First Corner67%
France Corners: O/U 5.564%
Sweden Corners: O/U 2.564%
2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 4.559%
Total Corners: O/U 9.556%
1st Half Total Corners: O/U 4.554%
Total Corners: Odd or Even50%
Sweden Corners: O/U 3.548%
France Corners: O/U 6.547%
Total Corners: O/U 10.545%
2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 5.542%
1st Half Total Corners: O/U 5.540%
France Corners: O/U 7.539%
Total Corners: O/U 11.536%
Total Corners: O/U 12.526%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, france vs. sweden - total corners stands at 87% likelihood according to current market consensus. Total corners markets for the FIFA World Cup game between France and Sweden, scheduled for June 30 at 5:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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