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Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs 1win (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs 1win (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 95% Both Teams Beat Roshan 51% Volume: $586K Liquidity: $514K Closes: 9 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs 1win (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?95%
Both Teams Beat Roshan51%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks51%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?51%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?50%
Game 2 Winner37%
Match Winner19%
Ends in Daytime10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs 1win (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Virtus.pro and 1win in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for July 8 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Virtus.pro" if Virtus.p…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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