Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| FC København (-1.5) | 100% |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Silkeborg IF O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC København O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC København O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| FC København O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Silkeborg IF 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC København 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC København 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 90% |
| FC København 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 90% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 10% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 10% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 10% |
| Silkeborg IF 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 10% |
| Silkeborg IF 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 10% |
| FC København 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 10% |
| Silkeborg IF (-1.5) | 0% |
| Silkeborg IF (-2.5) | 0% |
| FC København (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Silkeborg IF O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Silkeborg IF O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Silkeborg IF 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Silkeborg IF and FC København are due to meet in the Danish Superliga, and the **0% YES** crowd price on “More Markets” implies the market currently sees no credible path to additional side markets being posted or resolved in time before the settlement window closes. The practical read for a power-user is that this is a thin, event-specific order book: unless the platform’s market creator adds new selections, or there is a rules update that explicitly expands the contract set, programmatic monitors should treat the probability as effectively dormant rather than merely low.
Historically, this fixture has produced enough volatility to matter for derivative-style trading. FC København won **7-0** at Parken in April 2026, while the teams also played a **3-3** draw in September 2025 and Silkeborg beat København **3-1** in October 2025, so comparable cases have ranged from open to lopsided. Head-to-head datasets also show København with a strong long-run edge over Silkeborg, which is useful when modelling whether any late market additions would cluster around goals, handicaps, or player-related props rather than a simple win/draw/lose line.[7][8][9][12]
For traders running bots, the main catalysts are operational rather than purely sporting: the posted start time, any line-up or injury news, and whether the exchange or venue feed publishes extra markets before kick-off. The match is listed for **2 August 2026 at 16:00 UTC** at JYSK Park, with fixture pages confirming the same pairing and venue details, so automated systems should watch for pre-match market creation, suspended state changes, and any schedule mismatch between the event feed and the settlement clock.[1][13]
Methodology
This page reviews Silkeborg IF vs. FC København - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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