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Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5) 100% Volume: $211K Liquidity: $1.1M Closes: 28 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5)51%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.51%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-9.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+9.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-6.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-6.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-9.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+9.5)0%

Market context

Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between MIBR and Fluxo W7M in the StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 28 a…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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