🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogPlace a position →

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: Legacy vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Match Winner 70% Map 2 Winner 66% Map 1 Winner 62% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 52% Volume: $125K Liquidity: $133K Closes: 8 Sept 2026
Open live market →
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
70% 30% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
70% 30% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner70%
Map 2 Winner66%
Map 1 Winner62%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.552%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs magic (+3.5)51%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs magic (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs magic (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.548%
O/U 2.5 Games44%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)38%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 70% YES probability for Counter-Strike: Legacy vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Legacy and magic in the FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B, initially scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET. This …

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

Trade Counter-Strike: Legacy vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAY… on Kalshi Fees

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →