Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| Map Handicap: INOX (-1.5) vs Endless Journey (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: INOX Division (-3.5) vs Endless Journey (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map Handicap: EJ (-1.5) vs INOX Division (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Endless Journey (-3.5) vs INOX Division (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Endless Journey (-6.5) vs INOX Division (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: INOX Division (-6.5) vs Endless Journey (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: INOX Division (-9.5) vs Endless Journey (+9.5) | 0% |
Market context
INOX Division and Endless Journey are due to meet in a best-of-three group-stage match in CCT Europe Series #5, with the contest listed across multiple fixtures pages for 22 July 2026. Pre-match pricing was not uniform: one market snapshot had INOX Division at 1.50 versus 2.47 for Endless Journey, while another listed 1.61 for INOX and 2.18 for Endless Journey, which is consistent with a favourite but not with a fully locked result.[6][1]
For a power-user reading the current **100% YES** crowd-implied price, the key comparison is whether the market is behaving like a normal two-way match or like a technical placeholder. Comparable event pages show the fixture was scheduled and tracked as part of the CCT Europe 2026 Series #5 running on 21–22 July 2026, and at least one match page reported a completed 2-0 result with INOX Division ahead at 2.30 in-play, suggesting the market may already have been resolved or strongly priced around an on-the-day finish.[3][2][4] In practice, that means programmatic monitoring should treat the remaining upside as mainly event-state risk: check whether the official match record has been posted, whether the series page still lists the fixture as live, and whether any feed has updated the scoreline or final result.
The main catalysts are operational rather than analytical: a delayed start, a replacement match page, or a post-start abandonment could all affect settlement if the game was not completed as expected. The settlement rules also matter here, because a cancellation, tie, or delay beyond seven days without a winner would force a 50-50 outcome rather than a normal winner resolution. For tooling, that means bots and conditional orders should key off tournament schedule status, official score updates, and any last-minute bracket changes rather than assuming the pre-match favourite will automatically settle the contract.
Methodology
We track Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Endless Journey (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Endless Journey (BO… on Kalshi Fees
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →