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Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Match Winner 69% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5) 52% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 46% Volume: $82K Liquidity: $169K Closes: 12 Aug 2026
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Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
69% 31% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
69% 31% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner69%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)52%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.546%

Market context

Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A — current market-implied probability: 69%. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 3 match between G2 and M80 in the Esports World Cup Group A, initially scheduled for August 12 at 8:10AM ET. This market will resol…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Trade Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - Esports World Cup … on Kalshi Fees

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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