Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs Sinners (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Match Winner | 99% |
| Map 2 Winner | 96% |
| Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs Sinners (+1.5) | 84% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs Sinners (+3.5) | 77% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-9.5) vs Sinners (+9.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs Sinners (+3.5) | 48% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 48% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 48% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 27% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 9% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-6.5) vs Sinners (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-9.5) vs Sinners (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-6.5) vs Sinners (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-12.5) vs Sinners (+12.5) | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, counter-strike: faze vs sinners (bo3) - xse pro league group stage stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between FaZe and Sinners in the XSE Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 3 at 9:00AM ET. This market will re…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sinners (BO3) - XSE Pro Leag… on Kalshi Fees
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