Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| The Hundred, Women: London Spirit vs Manchester Super Giants - Completed match? | 100% |
| The Hundred, Women: London Spirit vs Manchester Super Giants - Who wins the toss? | 44% |
| The Hundred, Women: London Spirit vs Manchester Super Giants | 0% |
Market context
London Spirit and Manchester Super Giants met in The Hundred Women at Lord’s on 23 July 2026, with the fixture listed in the official Lord’s schedule and the match result later published as a Manchester Super Giants win by seven wickets after Spirit were bowled out for 80. That means a market showing **0% YES** is consistent with a fully resolved outcome rather than an unresolved in-play state, so the practical check for a trader is simply whether the market’s settlement logic has already consumed the final scorecard. [6][1][4]
For comparison-style pricing, the most useful read-through is that women’s Hundred matches can move quickly on one strong bowling spell or a chase completed with few wickets lost, which compresses the time available for live repricing. In this case, the published result shows a clear gap between the sides’ innings totals and a routine chase, so any pre-match model that leaned on London Spirit strength at home would have been overturned by the final score rather than by a narrow tiebreak or external ruling. [1][2][4]
A programmatic trader would watch three dependencies: the official fixture start time, the final ESPNcricinfo scorecard, and any competition ruling that changes the winner, because the market rules treat DLS, penalties, forfeits, walkovers and on-field tiebreaks as ordinary wins. The key operational trigger is not the betting line itself but the appearance of the final result on ESPNcricinfo, which is the settlement source here; once that is live, bots or conditional orders can treat the event as closed unless the platform has not yet ingested the result. [6][1]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $68K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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