Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Liverpool FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Liverpool FC O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| AS Monaco O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| AS Monaco O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| AS Monaco O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Liverpool FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Liverpool FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| AS Monaco 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| AS Monaco 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| AS Monaco 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Liverpool FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| AS Monaco (-1.5) | 0% |
| Liverpool FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| AS Monaco (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Liverpool FC O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| AS Monaco 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Liverpool FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Liverpool FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Liverpool’s friendly with AS Monaco at Anfield is the sort of fixture that produces a lot of peripheral market activity even when the match result itself is not the target, because line-ups, substitutions and broadcast lag can all shift related pricing very quickly. The crowd-implied 0% YES on “More Markets” is most naturally read as a thin-liquidity artefact unless the market definition is unusually narrow, since the game itself was scheduled for 9 August at 9:30 a.m. ET and has already been played.[3][14]
For comparison, Liverpool and Monaco have only met twice before in European competition, splitting those games 1-1, which is useful as a reminder that historical head-to-head data here is too sparse to anchor a programmatic model on its own.[2][9] Recent pre-season form matters more for tooling: Liverpool entered after a 4-2 defeat to Leeds and a sequence of rotation-heavy friendlies, while Monaco were in their own summer reset under a new manager and with forward-line changes, making any automated read on “more markets” dependent on fresh team-sheet data rather than legacy reputation.[4][6][14]
A power-user watching this market would mainly track confirmed starting XIs, late injury or travel updates, and whether the broadcaster or match centre changes any listed sub-markets before kick-off, because those are the inputs that most often trigger conditional orders or bot-driven re-pricing. Liverpool’s official pre-match coverage said the friendly was to be shown on LFCTV, and contemporaneous reports noted that senior players were returning to training and that summer signing Victor Munoz was in line for a debut, all of which are the kind of discrete announcements that can move ancillary betting interest even when the main fixture price is stable.[4][14]
Methodology
This page reviews Liverpool FC vs. AS Monaco - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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