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UTSA vs. Texas State

How the prediction-market book is pricing "UTSA vs. Texas State" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

UTSA vs. Texas State 100% Spread -1.5 100% O/U 44.5 100% O/U 46.5 100% Volume: $119K Liquidity: $337K Closes: 12 Sept 2026
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UTSA vs. Texas State

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
UTSA vs. Texas State100%
Spread -1.5100%
O/U 44.5100%
O/U 46.5100%
O/U 48.5100%
O/U 50.5100%
O/U 52.5100%
O/U 54.5100%
O/U 56.5100%
2H Moneyline100%
1H Spread -0.5100%
1H Spread -1.5100%
1H Spread -2.5100%
1H Spread -3.5100%
1H Spread -4.5100%
1Q Moneyline100%
2Q Spread -0.5100%
2Q Spread -1.5100%
2Q Spread -2.5100%
3Q Spread -0.5100%
3Q Spread -1.5100%
3Q Spread -2.5100%
3Q Moneyline100%
UTSA O/U 27.5100%
UTSA O/U 30.5100%
Texas State 1H O/U 14.5100%
Texas State 1H O/U 16.5100%
Texas State 1H O/U 15.5100%
UTSA 2H O/U 14.5100%
UTSA 2H O/U 16.5100%
UTSA 2H O/U 18.5100%
UTSA O/U 25.5100%
UTSA O/U 28.5100%
UTSA 2H O/U 15.5100%
UTSA 2H O/U 17.5100%
UTSA 2H O/U 19.5100%
UTSA O/U 26.5100%
UTSA O/U 29.5100%
Spread -4.5100%
Spread -3.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
Spread -0.5100%
2H O/U 27.5100%
2H O/U 30.5100%
1Q Spread -3.5100%
1Q Spread -1.5100%
1Q Spread -0.5100%
2Q Spread -3.5100%
2Q O/U 11.5100%
2Q O/U 14.5100%
3Q Spread -3.5100%
3Q O/U 8.5100%
3Q O/U 11.5100%
3Q O/U 14.5100%
4Q O/U 12.5100%
4Q O/U 15.5100%
UTSA 2H O/U 13.5100%
2H Spread -0.591%
2H Spread -1.591%
2H Spread -2.591%
2H Spread -3.591%
4Q Spread -0.591%
4Q Spread -1.591%
4Q Spread -2.591%
4Q Moneyline91%
2H Spread -5.591%
4Q Spread -3.591%
UTSA O/U 0.550%
UTSA O/U 1.550%
UTSA O/U 2.550%
UTSA O/U 3.550%
Texas State O/U 0.550%
Texas State O/U 1.550%
Texas State O/U 2.550%
Texas State O/U 3.550%
Brad Jackson: Anytime Touchdown50%
Will Henderson III: Anytime Touchdown50%
Beau Sparks: Anytime Touchdown50%
Chris Dawn Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
AJ Wilson: Anytime Touchdown50%
Torrance Burgess Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
Brandon High Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jaylen Jenkins: Anytime Touchdown50%
Davian Jackson: Anytime Touchdown50%
A'Marion Peterson: Anytime Touchdown50%
David Amador II: Anytime Touchdown50%
Brandon Young Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
Tucker Cusano: Anytime Touchdown50%
Mekhi Anderson: Anytime Touchdown50%
Owen McCown: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jordan Martin: Anytime Touchdown50%
DJ Allen: Anytime Touchdown50%
T.J. West: Anytime Touchdown50%
Miles Campbell: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jamel Hardy: Anytime Touchdown50%
Texas State O/U 4.510%
UTSA O/U 4.510%
Texas State 2H O/U 14.510%
Texas State 2H O/U 16.510%
Texas State 2H O/U 18.510%
Texas State 2H O/U 13.510%
Texas State 2H O/U 15.510%
Texas State 2H O/U 17.510%
2H Spread -1.510%
2H O/U 33.510%
2H O/U 36.510%
2H O/U 39.510%
4Q Spread -0.510%
4Q Spread -1.510%
4Q Spread -3.510%
4Q O/U 18.510%
4Q O/U 21.510%
4Q O/U 24.510%
2H Spread -0.510%
2H Spread -2.510%
2H Spread -3.510%
O/U 60.51%
O/U 72.51%
O/U 74.51%
O/U 76.51%
O/U 78.51%
O/U 80.51%
O/U 82.51%
O/U 84.51%
O/U 63.50%
Spread -1.50%
O/U 64.50%
O/U 66.50%
Spread -0.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -3.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -21.50%
Spread -24.50%
Spread -27.50%
Spread -31.50%
Spread -34.50%
O/U 58.50%
O/U 62.50%
O/U 68.50%
O/U 70.50%
1H Moneyline0%
1Q Spread -0.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -2.50%
2Q Moneyline0%
UTSA O/U 33.50%
UTSA O/U 36.50%
UTSA O/U 39.50%
Texas State O/U 28.50%
Texas State O/U 31.50%
Texas State O/U 34.50%
Texas State O/U 37.50%
Texas State O/U 40.50%
Texas State 1H O/U 18.50%
Texas State 1H O/U 17.50%
Texas State 1H O/U 19.50%
Texas State O/U 27.50%
Texas State O/U 30.50%
Texas State O/U 33.50%
Texas State O/U 36.50%
Texas State O/U 39.50%
2Q Spread -0.50%
2Q Spread -1.50%
2Q Spread -2.50%
3Q Spread -0.50%
3Q Spread -1.50%
3Q Spread -2.50%
UTSA 1H O/U 12.50%
UTSA 1H O/U 14.50%
UTSA 1H O/U 16.50%
UTSA O/U 31.50%
UTSA O/U 34.50%
UTSA O/U 37.50%
UTSA O/U 32.50%
UTSA O/U 35.50%
UTSA O/U 38.50%
O/U 65.50%
Spread -18.50%
Spread -15.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -12.50%
Spread -11.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -9.50%
Spread -12.50%
Spread -15.50%
Spread -18.50%
Spread -19.50%
Spread -22.50%
1H Spread -3.50%
1H Spread -1.50%
1H Spread -0.50%
1H O/U 26.50%
1H O/U 29.50%
1H O/U 32.50%
1H O/U 35.50%
1H O/U 38.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q O/U 7.50%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
1Q O/U 16.50%
1Q O/U 19.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q O/U 17.50%
2Q O/U 20.50%
2Q O/U 23.50%
3Q Spread -3.50%
3Q O/U 17.50%
3Q O/U 20.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, utsa vs. texas state stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming college football game between UTSA and Texas State, scheduled for September 12 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "UTSA" if UTSA win the game. This market wi…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices UTSA vs. Texas State at 100% for "UTSA vs. Texas State".

UTSA vs. Texas State 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $119K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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