Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
89% | 11% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
89% | 11% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 37.5 | 89% |
| O/U 39.5 | 86% |
| O/U 41.5 | 85% |
| O/U 43.5 | 81% |
| O/U 45.5 | 74% |
| O/U 47.5 | 74% |
| O/U 49.5 | 66% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 65% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 64% |
| UCLA O/U 34.5 | 62% |
| O/U 51.5 | 61% |
| O/U 53.5 | 57% |
| UCLA vs. Maryland | 54% |
| Spread -0.5 | 54% |
| Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| UCLA 1H O/U 13.5 | 52% |
| 1H Moneyline | 52% |
| O/U 55.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 31.5 | 51% |
| Spread -22.5 | 50% |
| Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| UCLA O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| UCLA O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| UCLA O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| UCLA O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Maryland O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Maryland O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Maryland O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| UCLA 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| UCLA 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Maryland 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Maryland 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Maryland 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| UCLA 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| UCLA 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| UCLA 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Maryland 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Maryland 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Maryland 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| UCLA O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Maryland O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| UCLA vs. Maryland: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| UCLA vs. Maryland: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UCLA vs. Maryland: Total Touchdowns O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Maryland Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Maryland Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Maryland Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Maryland Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Maryland Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Maryland Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Maryland Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Maryland Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Maryland Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Maryland Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Maryland Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| UCLA 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Maryland Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| UCLA 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Maryland 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Maryland 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Maryland Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Maryland Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Maryland Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Maryland Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Maryland Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Maryland Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Maryland Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Maryland Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Maryland Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| UCLA vs. Maryland: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UCLA vs. Maryland: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UCLA vs. Maryland: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 49% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 49% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| Spread -0.5 | 46% |
| O/U 57.5 | 46% |
| Spread -1.5 | 45% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 45% |
| Maryland O/U 28.5 | 45% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 44% |
| Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| O/U 59.5 | 41% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 40% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 39% |
| Spread -4.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| Spread -6.5 | 36% |
| Spread -5.5 | 36% |
| O/U 61.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| Spread -4.5 | 34% |
| Spread -5.5 | 32% |
| O/U 63.5 | 31% |
| O/U 65.5 | 31% |
| Spread -6.5 | 30% |
| Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| Spread -8.5 | 27% |
| Maryland O/U 34.5 | 27% |
| Spread -9.5 | 26% |
| 1H O/U 34.5 | 26% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 26% |
| O/U 67.5 | 24% |
| Spread -10.5 | 23% |
| O/U 71.5 | 19% |
| Spread -11.5 | 18% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 18% |
| Spread -8.5 | 17% |
| O/U 69.5 | 16% |
| Spread -16.5 | 14% |
| Spread -12.5 | 14% |
| O/U 73.5 | 14% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| Spread -14.5 | 13% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 12% |
| O/U 75.5 | 11% |
| O/U 77.5 | 10% |
Market context
UCLA vs. Maryland. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 54% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-26T17:30:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $217K.
Methodology
This page reviews UCLA vs. Maryland across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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