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Texas State vs. Texas

Five-platform snapshot of "Texas State vs. Texas" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Spread: Texas (-30.5) 100% O/U 60.5 100% O/U 59.5 100% Spread -29.5 100% Volume: $152K Closes: 5 Sept 2026
Open live market →
Texas State vs. Texas

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread: Texas (-30.5)100%
O/U 60.5100%
O/U 59.5100%
Spread -29.5100%
Spread -0.5100%
Spread -1.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
Spread -3.5100%
Spread -4.5100%
Spread -5.5100%
Spread -6.5100%
Spread -7.5100%
Spread -8.5100%
Spread -10.5100%
Spread -13.5100%
Spread -14.5100%
Spread -16.5100%
Spread -17.5100%
Spread -20.5100%
Spread -21.5100%
Spread -24.5100%
Spread -27.5100%
Spread -31.5100%
Spread -34.5100%
O/U 40.5100%
O/U 42.5100%
O/U 44.5100%
O/U 46.5100%
O/U 48.5100%
O/U 50.5100%
O/U 52.5100%
O/U 54.5100%
O/U 56.5100%
O/U 58.5100%
O/U 62.5100%
O/U 64.5100%
1H Spread -15.5100%
1H Spread -16.5100%
1H Spread -17.5100%
1H Spread -18.5100%
1H Spread -19.5100%
2H Spread -10.5100%
2H Spread -11.5100%
2H Spread -12.5100%
2H Spread -13.5100%
2H Spread -14.5100%
1Q Spread -5.5100%
1Q Spread -6.5100%
1Q Spread -7.5100%
1Q Spread -8.5100%
1Q Spread -9.5100%
3Q Spread -4.5100%
3Q Spread -5.5100%
3Q Spread -6.5100%
3Q Spread -7.5100%
3Q Spread -8.5100%
4Q Spread -4.5100%
4Q Spread -5.5100%
4Q Spread -6.5100%
4Q Spread -7.5100%
4Q Spread -8.5100%
Texas O/U 38.5100%
Texas O/U 41.5100%
Texas O/U 44.5100%
Texas O/U 47.5100%
Texas O/U 50.5100%
Texas 1H O/U 22.5100%
Texas 1H O/U 24.5100%
Texas 1H O/U 26.5100%
Texas State 1H O/U 4.5100%
Texas State 1H O/U 6.5100%
Texas 2H O/U 18.5100%
Texas 2H O/U 20.5100%
Texas 2H O/U 22.5100%
2H Spread -9.5100%
2H Spread -15.5100%
2H Spread -16.5100%
2H Spread -17.5100%
2H Spread -18.5100%
2H Spread -19.5100%
2H Spread -20.5100%
Texas State O/U 1.550%
Texas O/U 5.550%
Raleek Brown: Anytime Touchdown50%
Arch Manning: Anytime Touchdown50%
Hollywood Smothers: Anytime Touchdown50%
Ryan Wingo: Anytime Touchdown50%
Cam Coleman: Anytime Touchdown50%
Emmett Mosley V: Anytime Touchdown50%
Brad Jackson: Anytime Touchdown50%
Michael Masunas: Anytime Touchdown50%
Beau Sparks: Anytime Touchdown50%
Torrance Burgess Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jaylen Jenkins: Anytime Touchdown50%
Chris Dawn Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
Sterling Berkhalter: Anytime Touchdown50%
Kaliq Lockett: Anytime Touchdown50%
LaKeyleon Graves: Anytime Touchdown50%
Zechariah Sample: Anytime Touchdown50%
Blake Smith: Anytime Touchdown50%
Texas State vs. Texas0%
O/U 66.50%
O/U 68.50%
O/U 70.50%
O/U 72.50%
O/U 74.50%
O/U 76.50%
O/U 78.50%
O/U 80.50%
2H Moneyline0%
1H Moneyline0%
1Q Moneyline0%
2Q Spread -8.50%
2Q Spread -9.50%
2Q Spread -10.50%
2Q Spread -11.50%
2Q Spread -12.50%
2Q Moneyline0%
3Q Moneyline0%
4Q Moneyline0%
Texas State O/U 8.50%
Texas State O/U 11.50%
Texas State O/U 14.50%
Texas State O/U 17.50%
Texas State O/U 20.50%
Texas State 1H O/U 8.50%
Texas State 2H O/U 5.50%
Texas State 2H O/U 7.50%
Texas State 2H O/U 9.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%

Market context

Texas State vs. Texas — current market-implied probability: 100%. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 3:30PM ET: If Texas State wins, the market will resolve to "Texas State". If Texas wins, the market will resolve to "Texas". If the …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread: Texas (-30.5) at 100% for "Texas State vs. Texas".

Spread: Texas (-30.5) 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $152K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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