Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Penn State vs. Temple | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Spread -5.5 | 93% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 91% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 91% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 91% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 91% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 91% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 91% |
| Penn State 2H O/U 14.5 | 91% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 91% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 91% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 91% |
| Spread -23.5 | 78% |
| Spread -6.5 | 66% |
| Spread -13.5 | 66% |
| Spread -10.5 | 59% |
| Spread -4.5 | 57% |
| Spread -9.5 | 56% |
| Spread -3.5 | 55% |
| Spread -21.5 | 54% |
| Spread -7.5 | 54% |
| O/U 32.5 | 54% |
| Spread -14.5 | 53% |
| Spread -16.5 | 53% |
| Spread -17.5 | 52% |
| Spread -37.5 | 52% |
| Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 51% |
| O/U 38.5 | 51% |
| Penn State O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Penn State O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Penn State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Penn State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Temple O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Temple O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Temple O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Temple O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -22.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -31.5 | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| O/U 42.5 | 50% |
| O/U 46.5 | 50% |
| O/U 48.5 | 50% |
| O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| O/U 68.5 | 50% |
| O/U 70.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Penn State O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Penn State O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Penn State O/U 37.5 | 50% |
| Penn State O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| Penn State O/U 43.5 | 50% |
| Temple O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Temple O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Temple O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Temple O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Temple O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Temple O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Penn State O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Carson Hansen: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Rocco Becht: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Brett Eskildsen: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| James Peoples: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Koby Howard: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Benjamin Brahmer: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Andrew Rappleyea: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Quinton Martin Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Chase Sowell: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| Penn State O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Penn State O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Penn State O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| Penn State O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Penn State O/U 42.5 | 50% |
| Penn State 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Penn State 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Temple 2H O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Temple 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Temple 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Keveun Mason: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Cam Wallace: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Hunter Smith: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jayce Freeman: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Peter Clarke: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jaxon Smolik: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| JoJo Bermudez: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Colin Chase: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| De'Carlos Young: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Keith Jones: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Ryder Kusch: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Spread -44.5 | 50% |
| Spread -41.5 | 50% |
| Spread -40.5 | 50% |
| Spread -38.5 | 50% |
| Spread -32.5 | 50% |
| Spread -29.5 | 50% |
| Spread -28.5 | 50% |
| Spread -26.5 | 50% |
| Spread -25.5 | 50% |
| Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Gabe Burkle: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Zay Robinson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| O/U 50.5 | 49% |
| O/U 44.5 | 47% |
| Spread -30.5 | 47% |
| Spread -24.5 | 45% |
| Spread -27.5 | 44% |
| O/U 56.5 | 40% |
| O/U 52.5 | 32% |
| O/U 51.5 | 14% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 10% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 10% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 10% |
| O/U 49.5 | 4% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| Penn State 1H O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| Penn State 1H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Penn State 1H O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Temple 1H O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Temple 1H O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| Temple 1H O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 22.5 | 0% |
Market context
The Penn State vs. Temple prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming college football game between Penn State and Temple, scheduled for September 12 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Penn State" if Penn State win the game. This market will res…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $94K.
Methodology
This page reviews Penn State vs. Temple across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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